Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: MAFCO to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKamuzu Barracks to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO preview and prediction
The match
MAFCO travel to face Kamuzu Barracks in the Super League on Sunday 26 July (13:30 WAT). Kamuzu Barracks are 14th with 17 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while MAFCO sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kamuzu Barracks's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Blue Eagles 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
MAFCO's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Red Lions 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
MAFCO arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Kamuzu Barracks and 0.9 for MAFCO. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: MAFCO to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kamuzu Barracks 1–0 MAFCO. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kamuzu Barracks44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.88
MAFCO32%fair 3.11 · @3.50
2.11Expected goals
1.17Kamuzu Barracks xG
0.94MAFCO xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kamuzu Barracks 1.2 – 0.9 MAFCO expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kamuzu Barracks to win✓
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kamuzu Barracks / FT Kamuzu Barracks✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Kamuzu Barracks – last 6
WLLLLL
19 Jul
vs Blue Eagles
2–1
W
5 Jul
@ Masters FC
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Chitipa United
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Nyasa Big Bullets
1–2
L
31 May
@ Dedza Dynamos
0–1
L
23 May
vs Ekhaya
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MAFCO – last 6
WLWLWD
18 Jul
vs Red Lions
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ Be Forward Wanderers
0–3
L
20 Jun
vs Dedza Dynamos
3–0
W
30 May
@ Silver Strikers
0–1
L
24 May
vs Chitipa United
2–0
W
17 May
@ Karonga United
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kamuzu Barracks and MAFCO.
What is the prediction for Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
On our numbers Kamuzu Barracks have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MAFCO 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
Our predicted score is Kamuzu Barracks 1–0 MAFCO, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO?
Kamuzu Barracks vs MAFCO (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
