Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Red Lions to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRed Lions to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Karonga United vs Red Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Karonga United take on Red Lions on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). Karonga United are 13th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Red Lions sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Karonga United's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Be Forward Wanderers 1–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Red Lions's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Mitundu Baptist 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Red Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Karonga United and 1.1 for Red Lions. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karonga United 34%, draw 24%, Red Lions 42%.
Value angle: Red Lions to win at 2.55 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Karonga United 0–1 Red Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karonga United34%fair 2.97 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Red Lions42%fair 2.36 · @2.55
2.11Expected goals
0.97Karonga United xG
1.14Red Lions xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Karonga United 1.0 – 1.1 Red Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Red Lions to win✗
42%
2.36
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Red Lions / FT Red Lions✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
Karonga United – last 5
LWDDL
27 May
@ Be Forward Wanderers
1–4
L
24 May
@ CIVO United
1–0
W
17 May
vs MAFCO
1–1
D
10 May
@ Kamuzu Barracks
1–1
D
3 May
vs Masters FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Red Lions – last 4
WDWD
23 May
vs Mitundu Baptist
1–0
W
17 May
@ Nyasa Big Bullets
0–0
D
10 May
vs Dedza Dynamos
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Creck
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karonga United and Red Lions.
What is the prediction for Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karonga United vs Red Lions?
On our numbers Karonga United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Red Lions 42%.
How many goals will there be in Karonga United vs Red Lions?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Our predicted score is Karonga United 0–1 Red Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Karonga United vs Red Lions?
Karonga United vs Red Lions (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
