Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sion to win58% · @1.75
Double chanceFC Sion or draw80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.07
FC Sion vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Sion take on FC Thun on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stade de Tourbillon. FC Sion are 3rd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while FC Thun sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Sion's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FC ST. Gallen 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Thun's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat BSC Young Boys 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Thun arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished FC Thun 1–0 FC Sion.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for FC Sion and 1.1 for FC Thun. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sion 58%, draw 22%, FC Thun 20%.
Safer route: FC Sion or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Sion or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Sion 1–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sion58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.00
FC Thun20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
3.06Expected goals
1.98FC Sion xG
1.07FC Thun xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Sion 2.0 – 1.1 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FC Sion or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Sion vs FC Thun?
On our numbers FC Sion have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Thun 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sion vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sion vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is FC Sion 1–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Sion vs FC Thun?
FC Sion vs FC Thun (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Tourbillon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.