Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis preview and prediction
The match
ES Zarzis travel to Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi in the Ligue 1 on Thursday 23 April (15:00 WAT) to face ES Tunis. ES Tunis are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while ES Zarzis sit 13th on 6 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ES Tunis's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat WS Al Hamma 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ES Zarzis's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to AS Soliman 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
ES Tunis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for ES Tunis and 0.5 for ES Zarzis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Tunis 68%, draw 18%, ES Zarzis 14%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ES Tunis 1–0 ES Zarzis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Tunis68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.10
ES Zarzis14%fair 7.22 · @10.50
2.21Expected goals
1.68ES Tunis xG
0.53ES Zarzis xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 1.7 – 0.5 ES Zarzis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Tunis to win✗
68%
1.46
1.33
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
ES Tunis ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
ES Tunis – last 6
WWWDWW
28 Mar
@ WS Al Hamma
5–0
W
7 Mar
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Olympique Béja
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ ES Metlaoui
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ AS Soliman
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
ES Zarzis – last 3
LDL
6 Mar
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs JS Kairouanaise
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ US Monastirienne
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Tunis and ES Zarzis.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and ES Zarzis 14%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 ES Zarzis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis?
ES Tunis vs ES Zarzis (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
