Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.75 – our chance 55% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +52%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultES Tunis to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57% · fair 1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis preview and prediction
The match
ES Metlaoui host ES Tunis in the Cup on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Metlaoui Municipal stadium.
Form guide
ES Metlaoui's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with JS Kairouanaise 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ES Tunis's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat US Ben Guerdane 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished ES Metlaoui 1–1 ES Tunis.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for ES Metlaoui and 2.6 for ES Tunis. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Metlaoui 16%, draw 24%, ES Tunis 60%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.75 – 55% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ES Tunis to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: ES Metlaoui 1–2 ES Tunis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Metlaoui16%fair 6.09 · @5.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
ES Tunis60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
4.03Expected goals
1.43ES Metlaoui xG
2.60ES Tunis xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: ES Metlaoui 1.4 – 2.6 ES Tunis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?
Our pick is ES Tunis to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?
On our numbers ES Metlaoui have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ES Tunis 60%.
How many goals will there be in ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?
Our predicted score is ES Metlaoui 1–2 ES Tunis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?
ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Metlaoui Municipal stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Tunisia · Metlaoui Municipal stadium
