Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUruguay Montevideo to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.59
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Cerrito host Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT). Cerrito are 9th with 34 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Atenas 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Cerrito and 1.1 for Uruguay Montevideo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerrito37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Uruguay Montevideo38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
2.17Expected goals
1.08Cerrito xG
1.09Uruguay Montevideo xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.1 – 1.1 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uruguay Montevideo to win✗
38%
2.66
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uruguay Montevideo / FT Uruguay Montevideo✗
20%
4.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.59
–
Form
Cerrito
No recent results on record.
Uruguay Montevideo – last 3
WDD
1 Apr
@ Atenas
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Fenix
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerrito and Uruguay Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Uruguay Montevideo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
