Value bet: HB Koge to win @ 2.66 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHB Koge to win ✗40% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.14
HB Koge vs Hobro preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees HB Koge take on Hobro on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Capelli Sport Stadion. HB Koge are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Hobro sit 7th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
HB Koge's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Aarhus Fremad 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hobro's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Aarhus Fremad 0–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
HB Koge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Hobro 1–2 HB Koge. Across their last 2 meetings HB Koge have won 1, Hobro 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for HB Koge and 1.3 for Hobro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HB Koge 40%, draw 23%, Hobro 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: HB Koge to win at 2.66 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: HB Koge 1–1 Hobro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HB Koge40%fair 2.50 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Hobro37%fair 2.70 · @2.40
2.75Expected goals
1.41HB Koge xG
1.34Hobro xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.4 – 1.3 Hobro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win HB Koge vs Hobro?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hobro 37%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Hobro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Hobro?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Hobro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Hobro?
HB Koge vs Hobro (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
