Value bet: Aarhus Fremad to win @ 1.86 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus Fremad to win ✗57% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74
Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Aarhus Fremad take on HB Koge on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Riisvangen. Aarhus Fremad are 5th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while HB Koge sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Aarhus Fremad's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Middelfart 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HB Koge's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat B 93 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
HB Koge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished HB Koge 2–0 Aarhus Fremad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Aarhus Fremad and 1.0 for HB Koge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Aarhus Fremad to win at 1.86 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Aarhus Fremad 1–1 HB Koge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aarhus Fremad57%fair 1.75 · @1.86
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.30
HB Koge22%fair 4.47 · @4.00
2.89Expected goals
1.84Aarhus Fremad xG
1.04HB Koge xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Aarhus Fremad 1.8 – 1.0 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Aarhus Fremad have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and HB Koge 22%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Aarhus Fremad 1–1 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge?
Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Riisvangen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lyngby2
AC Horsens4