Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Hobro to win @ 1.94 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHobro to win ✗61% · @1.94
Double chanceHobro or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Hobro vs HB Koge preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Hobro take on HB Koge on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at DS Arena. Hobro are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while HB Koge sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hobro's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Aalborg 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
HB Koge's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat B 93 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
HB Koge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Hobro 1–1 HB Koge.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Hobro and 0.8 for HB Koge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hobro 61%, draw 23%, HB Koge 16%.
Safer route: Hobro or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Hobro to win at 1.94 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hobro or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hobro 1–0 HB Koge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hobro61%fair 1.63 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
HB Koge16%fair 6.25 · @3.55
2.71Expected goals
1.87Hobro xG
0.84HB Koge xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hobro 1.9 – 0.8 HB Koge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Hobro or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hobro vs HB Koge?
On our numbers Hobro have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HB Koge 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hobro vs HB Koge?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobro vs HB Koge?
Our predicted score is Hobro 1–0 HB Koge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hobro vs HB Koge?
Hobro vs HB Koge (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at DS Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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