Value bet: AC Horsens to win @ 2.66 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAC Horsens to win ✓45% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.83
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens preview and prediction
The match
Esbjerg host AC Horsens in the 1. Division on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Blue Water Arena.
Form guide
Esbjerg's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Lyngby 0–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AC Horsens's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Esbjerg 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished AC Horsens 4–1 Esbjerg. Across their last 2 meetings Esbjerg have won 1, AC Horsens 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Esbjerg and 1.4 for AC Horsens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esbjerg 33%, draw 22%, AC Horsens 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: AC Horsens to win at 2.66 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esbjerg33%fair 3.07 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
AC Horsens45%fair 2.20 · @2.66
2.51Expected goals
1.12Esbjerg xG
1.39AC Horsens xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Esbjerg 1.1 – 1.4 AC Horsens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
On our numbers Esbjerg have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AC Horsens 45%.
How many goals will there be in Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Our predicted score is Esbjerg 1–1 AC Horsens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Esbjerg vs AC Horsens?
Esbjerg vs AC Horsens (1. Division) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Blue Water Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
