Value bet: Esbjerg to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAC Horsens to win ✓44% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
AC Horsens vs Esbjerg preview and prediction
The match
AC Horsens host Esbjerg in the 1. Division on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nordstern Arena Horsens.
Form guide
AC Horsens's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Kolding IF 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esbjerg's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Hillerød 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esbjerg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Esbjerg 2–1 AC Horsens.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for AC Horsens and 1.1 for Esbjerg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Horsens 44%, draw 22%, Esbjerg 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Esbjerg to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AC Horsens 1–1 Esbjerg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Horsens44%fair 2.27 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Esbjerg34%fair 2.94 · @3.15
2.37Expected goals
1.29AC Horsens xG
1.08Esbjerg xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: AC Horsens 1.3 – 1.1 Esbjerg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
On our numbers AC Horsens have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Esbjerg 34%.
How many goals will there be in AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
Our predicted score is AC Horsens 1–1 Esbjerg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AC Horsens vs Esbjerg?
AC Horsens vs Esbjerg (1. Division) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nordstern Arena Horsens.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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