Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Faisaly to win ✗71% · @1.28
Double chanceAl Faisaly or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly preview and prediction
The match
The League sees Al Ahli take on Al Faisaly on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Al Ahli's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Sama Al Sarhan 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Faisaly's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Al Salt 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Faisaly arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.6 for Al Ahli and 2.1 for Al Faisaly. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli 11%, draw 18%, Al Faisaly 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Ahli 0–2 Al Faisaly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli11%fair 9.36 · @10.60
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.33
Al Faisaly71%fair 1.41 · @1.28
2.71Expected goals
0.64Al Ahli xG
2.06Al Faisaly xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–114%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 0.6 – 2.1 Al Faisaly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Faisaly to win✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Double chance
Al Faisaly or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Al Faisaly ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Faisaly / FT Al Faisaly✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Al Ahli – last 6
WLDWDD
14 Apr
@ Sama Al Sarhan
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs Al Hussein
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Al Ramtha
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ordon
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Al Salt
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Jazeera
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Faisaly – last 6
WWWLDW
17 Apr
@ Al Salt
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Al Buqa'a
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Sama Al Sarhan
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sama Al Sarhan
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al Faisaly.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al Faisaly 71%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 0–2 Al Faisaly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly?
Al Ahli vs Al Faisaly (League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
