Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Ferroviario to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerroviario to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.14
Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Ferroviario take on Fluminense PI on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.
Form guide
Ferroviario's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with TirolCEFAT 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fluminense PI's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Altos 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Ferroviario and 0.7 for Fluminense PI. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferroviario 60%, draw 23%, Fluminense PI 17%.
Safer route: Ferroviario or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferroviario to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferroviario 1–0 Fluminense PI. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviario60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.00
Fluminense PI17%fair 5.91 · @4.80
2.28Expected goals
1.59Ferroviario xG
0.69Fluminense PI xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ferroviario 1.6 – 0.7 Fluminense PI expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviario to win✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Double chance
Ferroviario or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.14
–
Form
Ferroviario – last 6
DWDLDW
1 Jun
@ TirolCEFAT
0–0
D
17 May
vs Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2–0
W
11 May
@ Piauí
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ ABC
1–4
L
15 Apr
vs Retrô
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Jacuipense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fluminense PI – last 6
DDDWLD
31 May
vs Altos
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs CRB
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Piauí
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Confiança
0–2
L
25 Mar
vs Juazeirense
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviario and Fluminense PI.
What is the prediction for Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?
Our pick is Ferroviario to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?
On our numbers Ferroviario have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fluminense PI 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?
Our predicted score is Ferroviario 1–0 Fluminense PI, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI?
Ferroviario vs Fluminense PI (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Presidente Vargas
Altos3
Uniclinic Atletico Clube2