Value bet: Sampaio Correa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampaio Correa to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Moto Club take on Sampaio Correa on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 0.9 goals: 0.4 for Moto Club and 0.5 for Sampaio Correa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 94% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moto Club 35%, draw 27%, Sampaio Correa 38%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Sampaio Correa to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Moto Club 0–0 Sampaio Correa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moto Club35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.70
Sampaio Correa38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
0.88Expected goals
0.42Moto Club xG
0.46Sampaio Correa xG
44%Both score
6%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–041%
0–119%
1–018%
1–18%
0–24%
2–04%
From our goals model: Moto Club 0.4 – 0.5 Sampaio Correa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Correa to win✗
38%
2.65
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.27
–
Form
Moto Club
No recent results on record.
Sampaio Correa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moto Club and Sampaio Correa.
What is the prediction for Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
On our numbers Moto Club have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sampaio Correa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
We expect about 0.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 6% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Our predicted score is Moto Club 0–0 Sampaio Correa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.9 goals in total.
When is Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa?
Moto Club vs Sampaio Correa (Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
