Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiriangén to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Matagalpa vs Diriangén preview and prediction
The match
Matagalpa host Diriangén in the Primera Division on Thursday 9 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Matagalpa are 10th with 10 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Diriangén sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Matagalpa's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to UNAN Managua 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Diriangén's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Walter Ferretti 5–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Diriangén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Matagalpa and 2.1 for Diriangén. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Matagalpa 1–2 Diriangén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matagalpa16%fair 6.22 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
Diriangén62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
3.12Expected goals
1.00Matagalpa xG
2.12Diriangén xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Matagalpa 1.0 – 2.1 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diriangén to win✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Double chance
Diriangén or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Diriangén ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diriangén / FT Diriangén✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Matagalpa – last 6
LLDDWD
8 Mar
@ UNAN Managua
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Real Madriz
2–4
L
26 Feb
vs H&H Export
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Real Estelí
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Managua
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Diriangén – last 6
WWWDWL
8 Mar
@ Walter Ferretti
5–2
W
5 Mar
@ UNAN Managua
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Rancho Santana
5–1
W
22 Feb
vs Managua
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Real Madriz
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs H&H Export
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matagalpa and Diriangén.
What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
On our numbers Matagalpa have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Diriangén 62%.
How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Our predicted score is Matagalpa 1–2 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Matagalpa vs Diriangén?
Matagalpa vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Real Madriz2