Value bet: Hobro to win @ 2.58 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHobro to win ✗42% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Hobro vs Aalborg preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Hobro take on Aalborg on Friday 10 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at DS Arena. Hobro are 7th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Aalborg sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hobro's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat B 93 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aalborg's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Middelfart 5–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hobro and 1.3 for Aalborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hobro 42%, draw 23%, Aalborg 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Hobro to win at 2.58 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hobro 1–1 Aalborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hobro42%fair 2.40 · @2.58
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Aalborg35%fair 2.82 · @2.46
2.74Expected goals
1.44Hobro xG
1.30Aalborg xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hobro 1.4 – 1.3 Aalborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hobro to win✗
42%
2.40
2.58 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hobro / FT Hobro✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Hobro – last 5
WLDDL
3 Apr
@ B 93
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Kolding IF
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs HB Koge
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Aarhus Fremad
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Vendsyssel FF
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Aalborg – last 4
WLDL
4 Apr
@ Middelfart
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Aarhus Fremad
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Hillerød
3–3
D
20 Feb
@ Sandefjord
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hobro and Aalborg.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hobro vs Aalborg?
On our numbers Hobro have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aalborg 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hobro vs Aalborg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hobro vs Aalborg?
Our predicted score is Hobro 1–1 Aalborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hobro vs Aalborg?
Hobro vs Aalborg (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at DS Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Middelfart0