Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Aarhus Fremad to win @ 1.92 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAarhus Fremad to win ✗57% · @1.92
Double chanceAarhus Fremad or draw ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees HB Koge take on Aarhus Fremad on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Capelli Sport Stadion. HB Koge are 11th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Aarhus Fremad sit 5th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
HB Koge's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to B 93 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for HB Koge and 1.9 for Aarhus Fremad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Aarhus Fremad to win at 1.92 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aarhus Fremad or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: HB Koge 1–1 Aarhus Fremad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HB Koge21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
Aarhus Fremad57%fair 1.75 · @1.92
2.90Expected goals
1.03HB Koge xG
1.87Aarhus Fremad xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: HB Koge 1.0 – 1.9 Aarhus Fremad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aarhus Fremad to win✗
57%
1.75
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Aarhus Fremad or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Aarhus Fremad ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aarhus Fremad / FT Aarhus Fremad✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
HB Koge – last 5
LLDWD
13 Mar
@ B 93
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Esbjerg
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hobro
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–0
W
14 Feb
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Aarhus Fremad – last 2
WD
6 Mar
@ Aalborg
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Hobro
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HB Koge and Aarhus Fremad.
What is the prediction for HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our pick is Aarhus Fremad or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
On our numbers HB Koge have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aarhus Fremad 57%.
How many goals will there be in HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
Our predicted score is HB Koge 1–1 Aarhus Fremad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad?
HB Koge vs Aarhus Fremad (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Capelli Sport Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
