Sama Al Sarhan host Al Ahli in the League on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sama Al Sarhan's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Al Salt 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Al Ahli's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Al Hussein 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Al Ahli arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for Sama Al Sarhan and 1.7 for Al Ahli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sama Al Sarhan 22%, draw 20%, Al Ahli 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sama Al Sarhan 0–1 Al Ahli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sama Al Sarhan22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.25
Al Ahli58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
2.53Expected goals
0.87Sama Al Sarhan xG
1.66Al Ahli xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Sama Al Sarhan 0.9 – 1.7 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Sama Al Sarhan – last 6
LLLDLD
9 Apr
@ Al Salt
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Al Jazeera
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Al Wihdat
0–6
L
6 Mar
vs Al Faisaly
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Al Faisaly
0–4
L
20 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 6
LDWDDL
8 Apr
vs Al Hussein
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Al Ramtha
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Shabab Al Ordon
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Al Salt
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Jazeera
2–2
D
24 Feb
vs Shabab Al Ordon
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sama Al Sarhan and Al Ahli.
What is the prediction for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Sama Al Sarhan have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ahli 58%.
How many goals will there be in Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Sama Al Sarhan 0–1 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli (League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Wihdat3
Shabab Al Ordon0