Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBolivia to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Iraq vs Bolivia preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs sees Iraq take on Bolivia on Wednesday 1 April, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio BBVA.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Iraq and 1.3 for Bolivia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iraq 37%, draw 25%, Bolivia 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 57% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Iraq 1–1 Bolivia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iraq37%fair 2.74 · @2.78
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.05
Bolivia38%fair 2.63 · @2.60
2.64Expected goals
1.31Iraq xG
1.34Bolivia xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Iraq 1.3 – 1.3 Bolivia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bolivia to win✗
38%
2.63
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bolivia / FT Bolivia✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Iraq
No recent results on record.
Bolivia – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Suriname
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iraq and Bolivia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Iraq vs Bolivia?
On our numbers Iraq have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bolivia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Iraq vs Bolivia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Bolivia?
Our predicted score is Iraq 1–1 Bolivia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iraq vs Bolivia?
Iraq vs Bolivia (World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
