Value bet: Aruba to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAruba to win ✓40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Aruba vs Liechtenstein preview and prediction
The match
Aruba host Liechtenstein in the on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Kigali Pele Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Aruba and 1.3 for Liechtenstein. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Aruba to win at 2.88 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Aruba 1–1 Liechtenstein. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aruba40%fair 2.51 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Liechtenstein36%fair 2.77 · @2.20
2.64Expected goals
1.36Aruba xG
1.28Liechtenstein xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aruba 1.4 – 1.3 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aruba to win✓
40%
2.51
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aruba / FT Aruba✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Aruba – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Mação
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Liechtenstein – last 1
W
26 Mar
@ Tanzania
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aruba and Liechtenstein.
What is the prediction for Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
On our numbers Aruba have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liechtenstein 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Our predicted score is Aruba 1–1 Liechtenstein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Aruba vs Liechtenstein () kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kigali Pele Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mação0
Tanzania6