O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
–Odds
2
Value bet: Tuggeranong United to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTuggeranong United to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.06
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United preview and prediction
The match
The Capital Territory NPL sees O'Connor Knights take on Tuggeranong United on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT).
Form guide
O'Connor Knights's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Cooma Tigers FC 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Tuggeranong United's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Monaro Panthers 1–6 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Tuggeranong United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Tuggeranong United 2–0 O'Connor Knights.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.9 for O'Connor Knights and 2.2 for Tuggeranong United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: O'Connor Knights 35%, draw 19%, Tuggeranong United 46%.
Value angle: Tuggeranong United to win at 2.30 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 81% chance. Predicted score: O'Connor Knights 1–2 Tuggeranong United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
O'Connor Knights35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Tuggeranong United46%fair 2.16 · @2.30
4.09Expected goals
1.89O'Connor Knights xG
2.20Tuggeranong United xG
62%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: O'Connor Knights 1.9 – 2.2 Tuggeranong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 81% chance.
Who will win O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?
On our numbers O'Connor Knights have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tuggeranong United 46%.
How many goals will there be in O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?
Our predicted score is O'Connor Knights 1–2 Tuggeranong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?
O'Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United (Capital Territory NPL) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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