Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES preview and prediction
The match
The sees Capital Brasilia take on Rio Branco ES on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Capital Brasilia and 1.4 for Rio Branco ES. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Capital Brasilia 44%, draw 23%, Rio Branco ES 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Capital Brasilia 1–1 Rio Branco ES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Capital Brasilia44%fair 2.27 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Rio Branco ES33%fair 3.06 · @2.70
3.14Expected goals
1.70Capital Brasilia xG
1.44Rio Branco ES xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Capital Brasilia 1.7 – 1.4 Rio Branco ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Capital Brasilia to win✗
44%
2.27
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Form
Capital Brasilia – last 2
WL
25 Mar
vs Primavera MG
4–3
W
12 Mar
@ Operario-PR
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rio Branco ES
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Capital Brasilia and Rio Branco ES.
What is the prediction for Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
On our numbers Capital Brasilia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Branco ES 33%.
How many goals will there be in Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Our predicted score is Capital Brasilia 1–1 Rio Branco ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES () kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
