Value bet: Volta Redonda to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaxias to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Caxias vs Volta Redonda preview and prediction
The match
Volta Redonda travel to Estadio Francisco Stedile in the on Friday 1 May (01:15 WAT) to face Caxias.
Form guide
Caxias's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Ypiranga-RS 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Volta Redonda's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Maranhão 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caxias arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Caxias and 1.0 for Volta Redonda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caxias 40%, draw 25%, Volta Redonda 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Volta Redonda to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caxias 1–1 Volta Redonda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caxias40%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.88
Volta Redonda34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.13Expected goals
1.13Caxias xG
1.00Volta Redonda xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Caxias 1.1 – 1.0 Volta Redonda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caxias to win✓
40%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caxias / FT Caxias✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Form
Caxias – last 6
WLWWLW
28 Apr
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Avai
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Juventude
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Guarany de Bagé
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ São Luiz
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Volta Redonda – last 6
LWDLWD
25 Apr
@ Maranhão
1–2
L
16 Apr
vs Tombense
3–2
W
8 Apr
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Ivinhema
4–2
W
28 Feb
vs Bangu
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caxias and Volta Redonda.
What is the prediction for Caxias vs Volta Redonda?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Caxias vs Volta Redonda?
On our numbers Caxias have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Volta Redonda 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caxias vs Volta Redonda?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caxias vs Volta Redonda?
Our predicted score is Caxias 1–1 Volta Redonda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Caxias vs Volta Redonda?
Caxias vs Volta Redonda () kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Francisco Stedile.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cianorte3
Juventude2