Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
The sees Operario-PR take on Novorizontino on Wednesday 15 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Operario-PR's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Cianorte 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novorizontino's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat São Bernardo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Operario-PR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for Operario-PR and 0.5 for Novorizontino. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Operario-PR 0–0 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Operario-PR37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
Novorizontino37%fair 2.67 · @3.20
1.00Expected goals
0.49Operario-PR xG
0.51Novorizontino xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 0.5 – 0.5 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
37%
2.67
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.37
–
Form
Operario-PR – last 6
DDWWWW
9 Apr
@ Cianorte
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Avai
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Londrina
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Capital Brasilia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Betim
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
WDWDLW
10 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Juventude
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Juventude
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs America Mineiro
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Londrina
1–3
L
13 Mar
@ Mixto
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Novorizontino 37%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 0–0 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino () kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
São Bernardo0
Cianorte1