Novorizontino vs São Bernardo prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Novorizontino or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.88 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓59% · @1.88
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.16
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo preview and prediction
The match
The sees Novorizontino take on São Bernardo on Friday 10 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Juventude 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
São Bernardo's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Botafogo SP 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Novorizontino and 0.9 for São Bernardo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Novorizontino 59%, draw 22%, São Bernardo 19%.
Safer route: Novorizontino or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 1.88 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Novorizontino or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novorizontino59%fair 1.70 · @1.88
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.40
São Bernardo19%fair 5.24 · @3.80
2.68Expected goals
1.78Novorizontino xG
0.89São Bernardo xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.8 – 0.9 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Novorizontino ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.16
–
Form
Novorizontino – last 6
DWDLWL
31 Mar
@ Juventude
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Juventude
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs America Mineiro
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Londrina
1–3
L
13 Mar
@ Mixto
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
WLDLWW
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 Mar
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–2
D
26 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
10 Mar
@ Joinville
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Atlético Alagoinhas
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Novorizontino or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and São Bernardo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?
Novorizontino vs São Bernardo () kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
