Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmazonas to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceAmazonas or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá preview and prediction
The match
Amazonas host Águia de Marabá in the on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Amazonas's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Figueirense 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águia de Marabá's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Monte Roraima 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Águia de Marabá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.7 for Amazonas and 1.4 for Águia de Marabá. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amazonas 61%, draw 23%, Águia de Marabá 16%.
Safer route: Amazonas or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Amazonas 2–1 Águia de Marabá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amazonas61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Águia de Marabá16%fair 6.16 · @3.95
4.11Expected goals
2.67Amazonas xG
1.44Águia de Marabá xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Amazonas 2.7 – 1.4 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Amazonas or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.33
Half-time result
Amazonas ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Amazonas – last 5
LLWDD
13 Mar
vs Figueirense
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Nacional AM
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Imperatriz
3–0
W
19 Feb
vs Manauara
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs JC
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Águia de Marabá – last 5
WLWWW
26 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
4–2
W
19 Mar
@ Juventude
0–3
L
12 Mar
@ Madureira
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Independência
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cametá
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and Águia de Marabá.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Águia de Marabá 16%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 2–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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