Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustralia to win ✓64% · @1.38
Double chanceAustralia or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Australia vs Curaçao preview and prediction
The match
Curaçao travel to AAMI Park in the on Tuesday 31 March (10:10 WAT) to face Australia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Australia and 0.5 for Curaçao. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Australia 64%, draw 24%, Curaçao 13%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Australia 1–0 Curaçao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Australia64%fair 1.57 · @1.38
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.40
Curaçao13%fair 7.80 · @8.60
2.03Expected goals
1.53Australia xG
0.50Curaçao xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Australia 1.5 – 0.5 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Australia to win✓
64%
1.57
1.38
Double chance
Australia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Australia / FT Australia✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.00
–
Form
Australia – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Cameroon
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Curaçao – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ China
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Australia and Curaçao.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Australia vs Curaçao?
On our numbers Australia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Curaçao 13%.
How many goals will there be in Australia vs Curaçao?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Curaçao?
Our predicted score is Australia 1–0 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Australia vs Curaçao?
Australia vs Curaçao () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 10:10 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
China0
Cameroon2
Kazakhstan1
Comoros0