Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Apollon Limassol to win @ 2.95 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultApollon Limassol to win ✗39% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol preview and prediction
The match
Apoel Nicosia host Apollon Limassol in the Cup on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at GSP Stadium.
Form guide
Apoel Nicosia's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Apollon Limassol 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Apollon Limassol's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Apoel Nicosia 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Apollon Limassol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Apollon Limassol 4–2 Apoel Nicosia. Across their last 2 meetings Apoel Nicosia have won 0, Apollon Limassol 2, with 0 draws and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.8 for Apoel Nicosia and 1.8 for Apollon Limassol. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Apollon Limassol to win at 2.95 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Apollon Limassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Apoel Nicosia39%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
Apollon Limassol39%fair 2.60 · @2.95
3.59Expected goals
1.79Apoel Nicosia xG
1.79Apollon Limassol xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 1.8 – 1.8 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Apollon Limassol 39%.
How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
Our predicted score is Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?
Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
