AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Athens FC to win62% · @1.46
Double chanceAEK Athens FC or draw81% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.98
AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees AEK Athens FC take on Panathinaikos on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Allwyn Arena. AEK Athens FC are 3rd with 20 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Panathinaikos sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
AEK Athens FC's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat PAOK 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Panathinaikos's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with PAOK 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for AEK Athens FC and 0.8 for Panathinaikos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEK Athens FC 62%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AEK Athens FC 1–0 Panathinaikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Athens FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.75
Panathinaikos19%fair 5.39 · @7.10
2.48Expected goals
1.71AEK Athens FC xG
0.77Panathinaikos xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.7 – 0.8 Panathinaikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Athens FC to win
62%
1.62
1.46
Double chance
AEK Athens FC or draw
81%
1.23
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.98
–
Form
AEK Athens FC – last 6
WWLWLD
19 Apr
vs PAOK
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Rayo Vallecano
3–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Celje
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Atromitos
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Panathinaikos – last 6
DLDWWW
5 Apr
@ PAOK
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Real Betis
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Panetolikos
0–0
D
12 Mar
vs Real Betis
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Levadiakos
4–1
W
4 Mar
vs OFI
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Athens FC and Panathinaikos.
What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Panathinaikos 19%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–0 Panathinaikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos?
AEK Athens FC vs Panathinaikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Allwyn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
