Value bet: PAOK to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓40% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
AEK Athens FC vs PAOK preview and prediction
The match
PAOK travel to Alwyn Arena in the Super League 1 on Sunday 19 April (16:00 WAT) to face AEK Athens FC. AEK Athens FC are 3rd with 20 points from 9 games (in the top four), while PAOK sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEK Athens FC's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PAOK's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Panathinaikos 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished PAOK 0–0 AEK Athens FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for AEK Athens FC and 1.2 for PAOK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEK Athens FC 40%, draw 26%, PAOK 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: PAOK to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AEK Athens FC 1–1 PAOK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Athens FC40%fair 2.47 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.96
PAOK34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.49Expected goals
1.32AEK Athens FC xG
1.18PAOK xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.3 – 1.2 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PAOK 34%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?
AEK Athens FC vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alwyn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
