Value bet: Olympiakos Piraeus to win @ 1.78 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlympiakos Piraeus to win ✗64% · @1.78
Double chanceOlympiakos Piraeus or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC preview and prediction
The match
Olympiakos Piraeus host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. Olympiakos Piraeus are 2nd with 23 points from 10 games (in the top four), while AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olympiakos Piraeus's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Panserraikos 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AEK Athens FC's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Celje 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Olympiakos Piraeus and 0.6 for AEK Athens FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Olympiakos Piraeus or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Olympiakos Piraeus to win at 1.78 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olympiakos Piraeus64%fair 1.57 · @1.78
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.30
AEK Athens FC11%fair 9.08 · @4.40
2.43Expected goals
1.79Olympiakos Piraeus xG
0.64AEK Athens FC xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.8 – 0.6 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos Piraeus to win✗
64%
1.57
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.18 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos Piraeus / FT Olympiakos Piraeus✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Olympiakos Piraeus – last 4
WDWL
1 Mar
@ Panserraikos
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Panetolikos
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
AEK Athens FC – last 6
LDWDWD
19 Mar
vs Celje
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Atromitos
2–2
D
12 Mar
@ Celje
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Volos NFC
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Levadiakos
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ PAOK
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos Piraeus and AEK Athens FC.
What is the prediction for Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers Olympiakos Piraeus have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AEK Athens FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
