Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Panetolikos to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsteras Tripolis to win ✓42% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.16
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos preview and prediction
The match
Panetolikos travel to Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium in the Super League 1 on Wednesday 22 April (18:00 WAT) to face Asteras Tripolis. Asteras Tripolis are 11th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Panetolikos sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Asteras Tripolis's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Panserraikos 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Panetolikos's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Larisa 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Panetolikos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Asteras Tripolis and 1.1 for Panetolikos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Panetolikos to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Panetolikos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asteras Tripolis42%fair 2.40 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Panetolikos34%fair 2.95 · @3.25
2.35Expected goals
1.26Asteras Tripolis xG
1.10Panetolikos xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.3 – 1.1 Panetolikos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asteras Tripolis to win✓
42%
2.40
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asteras Tripolis / FT Asteras Tripolis✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.16
–
Form
Asteras Tripolis – last 4
DLLL
8 Apr
@ Panserraikos
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Panserraikos
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ PAOK
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Atromitos
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Panetolikos – last 4
WDWL
8 Apr
@ Larisa
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Panathinaikos
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Kifisia
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Panetolikos.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Panetolikos 34%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Panetolikos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos?
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos (Super League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Panserraikos0
Larisa1