Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.59
St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees St. Truiden take on KV Mechelen on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stayen. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while KV Mechelen sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Anderlecht 1–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
KV Mechelen's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Club Brugge KV 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for St. Truiden and 1.0 for KV Mechelen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 64%, draw 13%, KV Mechelen 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Truiden to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Truiden 1–0 KV Mechelen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw13%fair 7.93 · @4.00
KV Mechelen24%fair 4.23 · @3.80
2.92Expected goals
1.92St. Truiden xG
0.99KV Mechelen xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 1.9 – 1.0 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.59
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 6
LWDLWW
21 May
@ Anderlecht
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Anderlecht
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Gent
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KV Mechelen – last 6
DDWLLD
21 May
vs Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
17 May
@ Anderlecht
2–2
D
3 May
vs Gent
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
1–6
L
12 Apr
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Gent
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and KV Mechelen.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is St. Truiden to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and KV Mechelen 24%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1–0 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
