Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise preview and prediction
The match
Gent host Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League on Thursday 21 May, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Planet Group Arena. Gent are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Union St. Gilloise sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gent's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Anderlecht 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Union St. Gilloise's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 0–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Gent.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Gent and 1.5 for Union St. Gilloise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gent 21%, draw 24%, Union St. Gilloise 55%.
Safer route: Union St. Gilloise or draw (79%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Gent 0–1 Union St. Gilloise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gent21%fair 4.82 · @4.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
Union St. Gilloise55%fair 1.81 · @1.73
2.48Expected goals
0.99Gent xG
1.49Union St. Gilloise xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Gent 1.0 – 1.5 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Gent have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union St. Gilloise 55%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Gent 0–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
Gent vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
