Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gent to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGent to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Gent vs St. Truiden preview and prediction
The match
St. Truiden travel to Planet Group Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 19 April (12:30 WAT) to face Gent. Gent are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while St. Truiden sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gent's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with KV Mechelen 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
St. Truiden's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Genk 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Gent and 1.4 for St. Truiden. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gent 42%, draw 23%, St. Truiden 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Gent to win at 2.55 – 42% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gent 1–1 St. Truiden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gent42%fair 2.38 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
St. Truiden35%fair 2.84 · @2.55
2.91Expected goals
1.53Gent xG
1.38St. Truiden xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Gent 1.5 – 1.4 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✗
42%
2.38
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Gent – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs KV Mechelen
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Genk
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St. Truiden – last 4
LWWW
15 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cercle Brugge
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dender
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Zulte Waregem
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and St. Truiden.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gent vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Gent have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St. Truiden 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Gent 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gent vs St. Truiden?
Gent vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dender1