Value bet: Dender to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRAAL La Louvière to win40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.87
Dender vs RAAL La Louvière preview and prediction
The match
Dender host RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Dender Football Complex.
Form guide
Dender's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Cercle Brugge 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
RAAL La Louvière's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Dender 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Dender.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Dender and 1.3 for RAAL La Louvière. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dender 37%, draw 23%, RAAL La Louvière 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Dender to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Dender 1–1 RAAL La Louvière. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dender37%fair 2.70 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.45
RAAL La Louvière40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
2.56Expected goals
1.25Dender xG
1.31RAAL La Louvière xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Dender 1.2 – 1.3 RAAL La Louvière expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
On our numbers Dender have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RAAL La Louvière 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our predicted score is Dender 1–1 RAAL La Louvière, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Dender vs RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Dender Football Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
