Value bet: OH Leuven to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStandard Liege to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Standard Liege vs OH Leuven preview and prediction
The match
OH Leuven travel to Maurice Dufrasne in the Jupiler Pro League on Friday 8 May (19:45 WAT) to face Standard Liege. Standard Liege are 8th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while OH Leuven sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Standard Liege's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Antwerp 1–2 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Standard Liege and 1.1 for OH Leuven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Standard Liege 47%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: OH Leuven to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Standard Liege 1–1 OH Leuven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Standard Liege47%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
OH Leuven32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.57Expected goals
1.44Standard Liege xG
1.13OH Leuven xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Standard Liege 1.4 – 1.1 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Standard Liege to win✓
47%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Standard Liege / FT Standard Liege✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
Standard Liege – last 5
LDWDW
21 Apr
vs Antwerp
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Antwerp
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Zulte Waregem
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Genk
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
OH Leuven – last 1
L
21 Apr
vs KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and OH Leuven.
What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Standard Liege have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and OH Leuven 32%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Standard Liege 1–1 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
Standard Liege vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Maurice Dufrasne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
