Value bet: ASA to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo PB to win48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.64
Botafogo PB vs ASA preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees Botafogo PB take on ASA on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Botafogo PB's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Vitoria 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
ASA's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Piauí 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Botafogo PB and 0.9 for ASA. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botafogo PB 48%, draw 22%, ASA 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.05.
Value angle: ASA to win at 4.10 – 29% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Botafogo PB 1–0 ASA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo PB48%fair 2.06 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
ASA29%fair 3.44 · @4.10
2.11Expected goals
1.25Botafogo PB xG
0.87ASA xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo PB 1.2 – 0.9 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo PB to win
48%
2.06
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo PB / FT Botafogo PB
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.64
–
Form
Botafogo PB – last 3
WDW
25 Mar
@ Vitoria
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Serra Branca
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Treze
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ASA – last 5
WWWLW
24 Mar
vs Piauí
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Miguelense
6–0
W
2 Mar
@ Penedense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Operario Ferroviario
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Murici Fc
3–0
W
2.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo PB and ASA.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Botafogo PB vs ASA?
On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ASA 29%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs ASA?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–0 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Botafogo PB vs ASA?
Botafogo PB vs ASA (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
Confiança2
Fluminense PI0