Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓71% · @1.33
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.48
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Khimik Dzerzhinsk take on Orenburg II on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Khimik Stadium. Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st with 56 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Orenburg II sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Nosta 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Orenburg II's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Izhevsk 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Orenburg II 1–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk and 0.8 for Orenburg II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 71%, draw 18%, Orenburg II 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Orenburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.30
Orenburg II12%fair 8.67 · @8.40
3.00Expected goals
2.23Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.77Orenburg II xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.2 – 0.8 Orenburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Orenburg II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Orenburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Khimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
