Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓74% · @1.10
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓91% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.13
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Dinamo Barnaul take on Khimik Dzerzhinsk on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Dynamo. Dinamo Barnaul are 6th with 26 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Khimik Dzerzhinsk sit 1st on 56 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Barnaul's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Izhevsk 0–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Akron II 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Khimik Dzerzhinsk 4–1 Dinamo Barnaul.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 0.8 for Dinamo Barnaul and 2.6 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.13 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Dinamo Barnaul 0–3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Barnaul9%fair 11.75 · @14.75
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @7.20
Khimik Dzerzhinsk74%fair 1.36 · @1.10
3.38Expected goals
0.82Dinamo Barnaul xG
2.56Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–310%
1–29%
0–19%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Dinamo Barnaul 0.8 – 2.6 Khimik Dzerzhinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
On our numbers Dinamo Barnaul have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Khimik Dzerzhinsk 74%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Barnaul 0–3 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Dinamo Barnaul vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dynamo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
