Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.86 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓72% · @1.19
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Barnaul travel to Khimik Stadium in the Second League Group 4 on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT) to face Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st with 56 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Dinamo Barnaul sit 6th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khimik Dzerzhinsk's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Akron II 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Dinamo Barnaul's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Izhevsk 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Khimik Dzerzhinsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Khimik Dzerzhinsk and 1.0 for Dinamo Barnaul. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.86 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–1 Dinamo Barnaul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk72%fair 1.39 · @1.19
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @5.85
Dinamo Barnaul12%fair 8.32 · @10.25
3.51Expected goals
2.56Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.95Dinamo Barnaul xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.6 – 1.0 Dinamo Barnaul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win✓
72%
1.39
1.19
Double chance
Khimik Dzerzhinsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.86 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Half-time result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 5
WWWWL
10 May
@ Akron II
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Ural II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Krylya Sovetov II
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Izhevsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs KDV
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dinamo Barnaul – last 6
DLDDLL
10 May
vs Izhevsk
1–1
D
3 May
@ KDV
1–3
L
29 Apr
@ Orenburg II
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Rubin Kazan 2
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Nosta
2–3
L
9 Apr
@ Krylya Sovetov II
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khimik Dzerzhinsk and Dinamo Barnaul.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dinamo Barnaul 12%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–1 Dinamo Barnaul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Khimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
