Value bet: Orenburg II to win @ 1.89 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrenburg II to win ✗60% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 4 sees Rubin Kazan 2 take on Orenburg II on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Academy Field Rubin. Rubin Kazan 2 are 10th with 20 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Orenburg II sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rubin Kazan 2's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Krylya Sovetov II 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Orenburg II's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Nosta 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Orenburg II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Rubin Kazan 2 and 1.7 for Orenburg II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Orenburg II to win at 1.89 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Rubin Kazan 2 1–1 Orenburg II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin Kazan 222%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @3.45
Orenburg II60%fair 1.66 · @1.89
2.64Expected goals
0.89Rubin Kazan 2 xG
1.75Orenburg II xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Rubin Kazan 2 0.9 – 1.7 Orenburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orenburg II to win✗
60%
1.66
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orenburg II / FT Orenburg II✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.03
–
Form
Rubin Kazan 2 – last 5
WDDLD
3 May
@ Krylya Sovetov II
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Nosta
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Dinamo Barnaul
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Akron II
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Ural II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Orenburg II – last 6
WDWDDW
3 May
vs Nosta
3–0
W
29 Apr
vs Dinamo Barnaul
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Akron II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Ural II
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin Kazan 2 and Orenburg II.
What is the prediction for Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II?
On our numbers Rubin Kazan 2 have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Orenburg II 60%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II?
Our predicted score is Rubin Kazan 2 1–1 Orenburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II?
Rubin Kazan 2 vs Orenburg II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Academy Field Rubin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
