Value bet: FK Spartak Tambov to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 3 sees Volna Nizhegorodskaya take on FK Spartak Tambov on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Volna Nizhegorodskaya are 1st with 56 points from 22 games (top of the table), while FK Spartak Tambov sit 2nd on 53 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Volna Nizhegorodskaya's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo St. Petersburg 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Spartak Tambov's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Ryazan 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Spartak Tambov arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished FK Spartak Tambov 0–2 Volna Nizhegorodskaya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Volna Nizhegorodskaya and 1.3 for FK Spartak Tambov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 34%, draw 25%, FK Spartak Tambov 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.86.
Value angle: FK Spartak Tambov to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volna Nizhegorodskaya34%fair 2.95 · @2.42
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
FK Spartak Tambov41%fair 2.45 · @2.90
2.40Expected goals
1.13Volna Nizhegorodskaya xG
1.27FK Spartak Tambov xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1.1 – 1.3 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov?
On our numbers Volna Nizhegorodskaya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Spartak Tambov 41%.
How many goals will there be in Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our predicted score is Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
