Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 3 sees Arsenal Tula II take on Metallurg Lipetsk on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Arsenal Tula II are 15th with 14 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Metallurg Lipetsk sit 7th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Arsenal Tula II's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Zenit Penza 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Strogino 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Metallurg Lipetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Metallurg Lipetsk 3–1 Arsenal Tula II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Arsenal Tula II and 2.0 for Metallurg Lipetsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula II 13%, draw 23%, Metallurg Lipetsk 65%.
Safer route: Metallurg Lipetsk or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula II13%fair 7.96 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.40
Metallurg Lipetsk65%fair 1.55 · @1.51
2.81Expected goals
0.80Arsenal Tula II xG
2.02Metallurg Lipetsk xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula II 0.8 – 2.0 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula II have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Metallurg Lipetsk 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
