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Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.26 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultZenit Penza to win ✗64% · @1.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92

Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II preview and prediction

The match

The Second League Group 3 sees Zenit Penza take on Arsenal Tula II on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Zenit Penza are 12th with 23 points from 21 games (in the bottom half), while Arsenal Tula II sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Zenit Penza's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Strogino 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Arsenal Tula II's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Saturn Ramenskoye 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Zenit Penza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Arsenal Tula II 1–1 Zenit Penza.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Zenit Penza and 0.9 for Arsenal Tula II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Zenit Penza 2–0 Arsenal Tula II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Zenit Penza64%fair 1.56 · @1.64
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @4.30
Arsenal Tula II20%fair 5.05 · @4.03
2.85Expected goals
1.94Zenit Penza xG
0.91Arsenal Tula II xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Zenit Penza 1.9 – 0.9 Arsenal Tula II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit Penza to win ✗64%1.561.64 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.88
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.32
Half-time resultZenit Penza ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit Penza / FT Zenit Penza ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.92–

Form

Zenit Penza – last 6

LWWWLL
13 Sep@ Strogino0–3L
5 Sepvs SKA Khabarovsk II2–1W
29 Aug@ Shumbrat3–1W
22 Augvs FK Spartak Tambov1–0W
15 Aug@ Avangard Kursk0–1L
8 Augvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula II – last 6

LLDDDD
13 Sepvs Saturn Ramenskoye1–2L
6 Sepvs Strogino1–2L
29 Aug@ SKA Khabarovsk II0–0D
23 Augvs Shumbrat1–1D
15 Aug@ FK Spartak Tambov1–1D
9 Augvs Avangard Kursk1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Arsenal Tula II v Zenit Penza1–1
Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II head-to-head page →

Second League Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Volna Nizhegorodskaya221822+3456
2FK Spartak Tambov221723+2553
3Shumbrat221246+1140
4Saturn Ramenskoye221246+1040
5Ryazan211173+2240
6Salyut-Belgorod221237+1639
7Metallurg Lipetsk221156+1438
8Avangard Kursk22868-130
9Rodina Moskva III228410+328
10Strogino227411-1025
11SKA Khabarovsk II227312-824
12Zenit Penza217212-1623
13Orel226511-1323
14Rotor-2224216-2014
15Arsenal Tula II222812-2514
16Kvant221318-426

More Second League Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II?

On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Arsenal Tula II 20%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II?

Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 2–0 Arsenal Tula II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II?

Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.