Value bet: Zenit Penza to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZenit Penza to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Strogino vs Zenit Penza preview and prediction
The match
Strogino host Zenit Penza in the Second League Group 3 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT). Strogino are 10th with 25 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Zenit Penza sit 12th on 23 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Strogino's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula II 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Zenit Penza's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat SKA Khabarovsk II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zenit Penza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Zenit Penza 1–0 Strogino.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Strogino and 1.4 for Zenit Penza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Zenit Penza to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Strogino 1–1 Zenit Penza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strogino37%fair 2.71 · @2.42
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Zenit Penza38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.40Strogino xG
1.42Zenit Penza xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–18%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Strogino 1.4 – 1.4 Zenit Penza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
On our numbers Strogino have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zenit Penza 38%.
How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Our predicted score is Strogino 1–1 Zenit Penza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Strogino vs Zenit Penza (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
