Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Strogino to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStrogino to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceStrogino or draw ✓85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Tula II host Strogino in the Second League Group 3 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Arsenal Tula II are 15th with 14 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Strogino sit 10th on 25 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arsenal Tula II's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with SKA Khabarovsk II 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Strogino's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Saturn Ramenskoye 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Strogino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Arsenal Tula II and 1.9 for Strogino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula II 15%, draw 20%, Strogino 65%.
Safer route: Strogino or draw (85%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Strogino to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Strogino or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula II 0–1 Strogino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula II15%fair 6.63 · @3.93
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
Strogino65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
2.71Expected goals
0.78Arsenal Tula II xG
1.93Strogino xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula II 0.8 – 1.9 Strogino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strogino to win✓
65%
1.53
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Strogino or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.21
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.26
Half-time result
Strogino ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strogino / FT Strogino✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Arsenal Tula II – last 6
DDDDLL
29 Aug
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Shumbrat
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FK Spartak Tambov
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Ryazan
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Strogino – last 6
LLDLWW
30 Aug
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Shumbrat
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ FK Spartak Tambov
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula II and Strogino.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Our pick is Strogino or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Strogino 65%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula II 0–1 Strogino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
