Value bet: FK Spartak Tambov to win @ 1.74 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✓63% · @1.74
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk preview and prediction
The match
Metallurg Lipetsk travel to face FK Spartak Tambov in the Second League Group 3 on Saturday 29 August (16:00 WAT). FK Spartak Tambov are 2nd with 53 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Metallurg Lipetsk sit 7th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Spartak Tambov's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Ryazan 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Avangard Kursk 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metallurg Lipetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Metallurg Lipetsk 0–1 FK Spartak Tambov.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for FK Spartak Tambov and 0.8 for Metallurg Lipetsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: FK Spartak Tambov or draw (84%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FK Spartak Tambov to win at 1.74 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Metallurg Lipetsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Spartak Tambov63%fair 1.59 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
Metallurg Lipetsk16%fair 6.37 · @4.23
2.75Expected goals
1.92FK Spartak Tambov xG
0.84Metallurg Lipetsk xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Spartak Tambov 1.9 – 0.8 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers FK Spartak Tambov have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Metallurg Lipetsk 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
