Value bet: Salyut-Belgorod to win @ 1.68 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalyut-Belgorod to win ✓66% · @1.68
Double chanceSalyut-Belgorod or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.44
Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod preview and prediction
The match
Salyut-Belgorod travel to Salyut Stadium in the Second League Group 3 on Wednesday 1 July (14:00 WAT) to face Zenit Penza. Zenit Penza are 12th with 23 points from 21 games (in the bottom half), while Salyut-Belgorod sit 6th on 39 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zenit Penza's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Orel 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Salyut-Belgorod's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Arsenal Tula II 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Salyut-Belgorod arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Zenit Penza and 2.1 for Salyut-Belgorod. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Salyut-Belgorod to win at 1.68 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Zenit Penza 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zenit Penza13%fair 7.43 · @4.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.28
Salyut-Belgorod66%fair 1.52 · @1.68
2.89Expected goals
0.82Zenit Penza xG
2.06Salyut-Belgorod xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.8 – 2.1 Salyut-Belgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salyut-Belgorod to win✓
66%
1.52
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Salyut-Belgorod or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Half-time result
Salyut-Belgorod ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salyut-Belgorod / FT Salyut-Belgorod✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.44
–
Form
Zenit Penza – last 6
WLLLDW
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Rodina Moskva III
1–9
L
13 Jun
vs Metallurg Lipetsk
2–3
L
6 Jun
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
0–1
L
31 May
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
23 May
vs Strogino
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salyut-Belgorod – last 6
WWWLLD
28 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula II
4–0
W
20 Jun
vs Strogino
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Shumbrat
0–2
L
30 May
@ FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
23 May
vs Avangard Kursk
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit Penza and Salyut-Belgorod.
What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Salyut-Belgorod 66%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Salyut Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
