Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Metallurg Lipetsk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✓66% · @1.41
Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II preview and prediction
The match
The Second League Group 3 sees Metallurg Lipetsk take on Arsenal Tula II on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Metallurg. Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th with 38 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Arsenal Tula II sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Metallurg Lipetsk's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Strogino 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal Tula II's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Zenit Penza 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Metallurg Lipetsk and 0.9 for Arsenal Tula II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metallurg Lipetsk 66%, draw 22%, Arsenal Tula II 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Metallurg Lipetsk to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Arsenal Tula II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metallurg Lipetsk66%fair 1.52 · @1.41
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Arsenal Tula II12%fair 8.02 · @6.80
3.09Expected goals
2.20Metallurg Lipetsk xG
0.89Arsenal Tula II xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 2.2 – 0.9 Arsenal Tula II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metallurg Lipetsk to win✓
66%
1.52
1.41
Double chance
Metallurg Lipetsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.63
Half-time result
Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 5
DWDLW
30 May
@ Strogino
2–2
D
23 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
4–0
W
20 May
@ Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
8 May
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula II – last 6
DLWWDL
31 May
vs Zenit Penza
1–1
D
24 May
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
1–2
L
10 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
5–4
W
2 May
@ Shumbrat
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs FK Spartak Tambov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metallurg Lipetsk and Arsenal Tula II.
What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Our pick is Metallurg Lipetsk to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal Tula II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Arsenal Tula II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
